Calculations for Motor Accidents due to Driving

  1. The data in the paper gives number of fatal crashes per person miles driven segregated by sex and age.
  2. Thus, based on the number of miles a person travel in a motor vehicle per year, and the sex and age of the driver, the probability of a fatal crash for one year can be worked out.
  3. That probability is the converted to a lambda value which replaces the lambda value for motor vehicle mortality. The new lambda value is -LN(1-Driving Distance*Expected Number of Fatal Crash Per Mile)